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Black Swan Connection October 2017

Posted By Administration, Wednesday, October 25, 2017

October2017

Our goal with the Black Swan Connection is to provide our subscribers, investors and financial professional compatriots outstanding investment insight that is a step above and outside of what will normally be found in mainstream financial press. To that end we have brought together seasoned, successful, and some of the brightest professionals in their respective fields to provide the articles and advice that is based on decades of practice in the field.

Dave LavigneEditor-Black Swan Connection

Cryptocurrency:

“The Brave New World”

or

“Haven’t We Seen This One Before?”

By: Dave Lavigne

Trickle recently put out some research notes on a company we follow called SRAX (Social Reality, Inc. for those of you who have been following the research since we initiated coverage). SRAX (the symbol is also SRAX by the way), presented at our recent Rocky Mountain Microcap Conference, and to our surprise their presentation was almost totally devoted to a new piece of business we knew nothing about. (They filed an 8k the morning of the conference). That announcement and their new business for that matter, involves among other things, the creation of their own “cryptocurrency” called BIGtokens, which will be associated with the new business, which they refer to as “Blockchain Identification Graph” or “BIG”. In that write up, we noted the following:“We must admit, when we first started covering SRAX five months ago, we didn’t anticipate the story evolving into blockchains and crypto currencies…”.

Like many investors, I have taken notice of Bitcoin (the first cryptocurrency) since its inception (nearly a decade ago), and even given it more credence than some on Wall Street (Jamie Dimon), however, we have never taken the time in earnest to try to understand how it works (blockchain) or why it might (has) become a bona fide medium of exchange (money). Apparently, we should have paid more attention because cryptocurrency is now all the rage.

As most Black Swan readers can attest, my newsletter columns tend to be skewed towards macro perspectives. In short, it seems to me that the shifting macro world is generally where trends start, and I believe trends often create opportunity for small emerging companies. As such, I try to pay attention to the big picture even though I spend most of my time writing individual (micro) company research. Along those lines, this is not a cryptocurrency tutorial. That is WAY above my paygrade. Rather, I just find the macro issues that seem to be woven throughout the cryptocurrency “debate” interesting. Moreover, that evolving tapestry, like much of the investment landscape these days, appears to include plenty of risk, opportunity, blue sky and cautionary tales. Here are a few of my observations.Read Full Report>>

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Published by:
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Editor:
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dave@t4partners.com
720-394-1019

CEO:
Carl Dilley
Cdilley@smm.global
727-823-3987

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How to Protect Your Identity

SMM has partnered with Generali Global Assistance to provide the most comprehensive and cost effective ID Theft protection available

By now, you are most likely aware that Equifax, one of the three major consumer credit bureaus in the United States, has reporteda widespread data breach, potentially exposing the records of 143 million people.

Unfortunately, we are living in an era where data breaches are becoming increasingly common and it is more important than ever to stay vigilant. Comprehensive, proactive identity and credit monitoring are a critical line of defense in minimizing the risk of identity fraud resulting from personal information exposed during a breach, particularly one of this size.

While data breaches represent highly public examples of identity theft, identity fraud with its long term, time-consuming financial impacts, can occur months or years later. Our Identity Protection program provided by Generali Global Assistance consistently monitors the deep and dark web where stolen personal information is bought and sold, so that if suspicious activity does occur, we can take quick action to minimize the risk and resolve any issues.

To learn more about how you can protect your identity for less than $12.00/month,click here.

 

To celebrate Football Season we’re kicking off a Football season contest.

Every week through superbowl we’re giving away $50.00 and at the end of every month a free subscription to theBlack Swan ResearchSubscription (a $399 value)

Here is what you have to do: Make sure you’re registered on our website and subscribe to the Black Swan Newsletter.

Click Hereif you’re not already registered for some reason or need to update your profile.

Send me an email to: cdilley@smm.global telling me in a few sentences why you think your pick from the“A Football Life”video profiles should be the next to be featured in our newsletter.

From the winners we’ll draw a name and send you $50.00, publish your comments and enter you for the monthly Black Swan Research drawing. Yup, it’s that simple.

This week’s pick is Charles Woodson. Charles started out life as a poor kid from a bad neighborhood and with a Mother and coaches that cared deeply and kept him more or less on the straight and narrow became the only defensive player to ever win the Heisman trophy and will go down as one of the greatest defensive back sot ever play the game.

Again great inspiration.Check it out

 

We are excited to announce our new Research Subscription service.
Black Swan Research

Subscribers will get Real Time notification as Research Reports and updates are available as well as latest press releases and news on the companies covered.

Black Swan Research coverage is a compilation of some of the best independent providers of Micro Cap Research. The service focuses on micro-cap companies that are typically not followed by Wall Street analysts. In addition our subscription research service includes ValuEngine research on over 5,000 stocks with stock valuations, Buy/Hold/Sell recommendations, and forecasted target prices.

Click Here for Complete Description

See Below for current coverage and info regarding our Research providers

Trickle ResearchClick Here for More info>>

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ValuEngine.com (VE) is a stock valuation and forecasting service founded by Ivy League finance academics. VE utilizes the most advanced quantitative techniques and analysis available.

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Nice report from Marc Robbins at Catalyst Research Management Group

From money manager to a nationally-recognized financial publisher and equity analyst, Marc Robins CFA has gained respect over his nearly 40-year career as a “Special Situation” stock picker and investor. An eight-year author for the Forbes small-cap column as well as an E.F.Hutton/Lehman “Select Asset Manager,” Robins is best known for creating, launching and managing five, start-up concerns, most notably The Red Chip Review. He has extensive public- and private-company board experience being either a management member or advisor to six different business boards.

Robbins Research Review Volume 3, Issue 10, October 2017

For Full ReportClick Here >>

Companies reported on in this issue:

Galaxy Gaming, Inc
Aethlon Medical, Inc.
Parker Vision, Inc.
Monaker Group, Inc.

Published by:

Catalyst Research Management Group – RIA For More on Catalyst ResearchClick here
1730 SW Skyline Blvd., Ste 103; Portland OR 97221
800-2-Robins, (800)-276-2467)
marc@catalystresearch.com

 

New Profile Listings

Companies: Blue Water Ventures International, Inc. (BWVI)

 

Premium Profiles and Executive Summaries
New Jersey Mining
Chineseinvestors.com, Inc.
ID Watchdog, inc.
Endurance Explorations Group, Inc.
Aethlon Medical, Inc.
Galaxy, Gaming, Inc.

Research Reports and Updates
Barfresh Food Group, Inc. Research Report 3-27-17
Trickle Research Q-2 Earnings Update 8-18-17
Research Earnings Update 5-18-17

Command Center, Inc. (CCNI) Research Report 9-18-17

ID Wtachdog Research Report 10-13-16
-Acquisition Update 6-19-17
-Research Update 2-26-17

New Jersey Mining Research Report 1-18-17
-Allocation Upgrade 6-19-17
-Research Earnings Update 4-17-17

Pulse Evolution Corp (PLFX) Research Report 9-18-17

Social Reality, Inc. (SRAX) Research Report 4-25-17
-Trickle Research Note 8-28-17
-Trickle Research Earnings Update 8-21-17
-Trickle Research Allocation Update 6-7-17

 

Reg A Update

Legal Overview and Updates on Reg A +

Another great article from Laura Anthony-

On September 14, 2017, the SEC issued three new Compliance and Disclosure Interpretations (C&DI) to provide guidance related to the filing of aForm 8-Ain conjunction with aTier 2 Regulation A offering. The new guidance addresses the timing of financial statements and subsequent reporting requirements under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (“Exchange Act”).

Furthermore, earlier in September, the House passed the Improving Access to Capital Act, which would allow companies subject to the reporting requirements under the Exchange Act to useRegulation A, a change the entire marketplace is advocating for.

As I do with each blog on Regulation A, I have included an ongoing commentary, practice tips, and thoughts on Regulation A+, and a summary of theRegulation A+ rules, including interpretations and guidance up to the date of this blog.

New CD&I Guidance

As a reminder, Tier 2 issuers that have used the S-1 format for their Form 1-A filing are permitted to file a Form 8-A to register under the Exchange Act and become subject to its reporting requirements and to register with a national exchange. The Form 8-A must be filed within 5 days of qualification of theForm 1-Aby the SEC. A Form 8-A is a simple Exchange Act registration form used instead of a Form 10 for issuers that have already filed the substantive Form 10 information with the SEC. Upon filing a Form 8-A, the issuer will become subject to the full Exchange Act reporting obligations, and the scaled-down Regulation A+ reporting will automatically be suspended. A form 8-A can also be used as a short-form registration to list on a national exchange under Section 12(b) of the Exchange Act.Read More

 

Current Listings:

Reg A

Sanz Solutions, Inc.
Sanz Solutions offers shared service solutions for companies specializing in small businesses that provide routine services for residential and commercial clients specifically tailored to the janitorial, cleaning, lawn care and maintenance industries.
Miami Lakes, Florida - April 19, 2017 – Sanz Solutions, Inc. (Sanz) announced today it has launched its Regulation A+ Tier II Offering online atwww.SanzRegA.com.Read More

 

Reg D 506(c)

Zero E Technologies, LLC.

Zero E is a pre-revenue company that has developed the ZEUS Motor™ (10 to 30 HP) that is: 1) the most efficient general purpose industrial electric motor ever developed, 2) the smallest, 3) the most robust, and 4) will be the least expensive when Zero E reaches economies of scale. This is a 506(c) offering is for $1.25 million to be raised over six months @ $8/share.Read More

 

If you have a Reg A or 506(c) offering you would like us to distribute to our database, please give us a ring or email to:
727-823-3987
cdilley@smm.global

 

Corporate News Updates
Barfresh Food Group, Inc. (BRFH)
10-2-17 Barfresh Extends Exclusive Contract with North America’s Largest Foodservice Distributor
8-14-17 Barfresh Provides Second Quarter 2017 Update on Recent Business Progress
8-4-17 Barfresh to Host Business Update Call on August 14, 2017

Canbiola, Inc. (CANB)fka (WRAP)
10-19-17 Dr. John P. Salerno Joins Canbiola, Inc. (CANB) as Medical Advisor and Distributor
9-19-17 Dr. Patrick M. Fratellone Joins Canbiola, Inc. (CANB) as Medical Advisor and Distributor
8-29-17 Dr. Harry Benisatto joins Canbiola, Inc. (CANB) as Medical Advisor and Distributor

Chineseinvestors.com, Inc. (CIIX)
10-11-17 ChineseInvestors.com, Inc. (CIIX) Markets Hemp-Infused CBD Skin Care Line in China with Multi-Platform Strategy
10-2-17 ChineseInvestors.com, Inc. Appoints Skin Care Industry Veteran and Shanghai Beauty Influencer, Fannie Tang, as Marketing Director of its Wholly-owned Foreign Enterprise, CBD Biotechnology Co., Ltd.
9-12-17 ChineseInvestors.com, Inc. Announces Annual Financial Results, Posts 76% YoY Increase in Revenues, and Comments on Recent Stock Price Volatility as it May Relate to Recent News in the Digital Currency Industry

Ecom Products Group (EPGC)
8-18-17Ecom Products Group Announces Completion of International Brands Direct Acquisition
8-4-17 Ecom Products Group 2ndQuarter Operational Update
7-21-17 Ecom Products Group Announces Another Free China Market Entry Seminar; E-commerce Strategies to Enter and Expand in China

Endurance Explorations Group, Inc. (EXPL)
9-14-17 Endurance Exploration Group reports no damage to survey and recovery vessels and work on Pulaski project to begin shortly.
7-20-17 EXPL Announces Shipwreck Recovery to Commence in August

Endurance Exploration Group, Inc. (OTCQB: EXPL) Announces an Offering of Up to $3,750,000 (15,000,000 Restricted Shares) of its Common Stock at $0.25 per Share
Endurance Exploration Group, Inc. Locates Second Sunken Shipwreck; Files Admiralty Claim in US Federal Court for Salvage Rights

Magnegas, Inc. (MNGA)
10-19-17 Featured Company News - MagneGas Declares Sale of Additional Gasification Unit Worth $1.58 Million for the European Market
10-5-17 MagneGas Signs Letter of Intent to Acquire Louisiana & Texas Industrial Gas Distributor
9-12-17 MagneGas Reports No Damages From Hurricane Irma and Gears up to Support the Cleanup and Rebuilding Efforts


MOBI724 Global Solutions, Inc. (MOBIF)
10-5-17 MOBI724 Global Solutions Inc. announces final certification of its Payment Host on BancNet’s local debit network in the Philippines via its subsidiary MOBI724 Asia
8-29-17 MOBI724 Global Solutions (CSE:MOS)(OTCQB:MOBIF) Q2 financial release - total revenues increase by 29% in Q2 2017 versus Q2 2016 and more than 85% yearly growth for our Card-Link vertical
7-25-17 MOBI724 Global Solutions Inc. Announces its Intention to Apply to List its Shares on the TSXV

New Jersey Mining Company (NJMC)
8-14-17 New Jersey Mining Company Provides Second Quarter Update on Operations and Corporate Activities
6-8-17 New Jersey Mining to Expand Golden Chest Open Pit by More than Tenfold
New Jersey Mining Company Provides First Quarter Update on Operations and Corporate Activities
-Trickle Research Earnings Updates 4-17-17

Sanz Solutions, Inc. (Private)
-Miami Lakes, Florida - April 19, 2017 – Sanz Solutions, Inc. (Sanz) announced today it has launched its Regulation A+ Tier II Offering online atwww.SanzRegA.com.

Social Reality, Inc. (SRAX)
10-17-17 Social Reality, Inc. to Pursue Strategic Alternatives for SRAXmd Healthcare Business

10-3-17 SRAX Appoints Advertising Veteran Matt Weiss as Independent Director

8-14-17 SRAX Reports Second Quarter 2017 Financial Results

True Nature Holding, Inc. (TNTY)
10-17-17 True Nature Holding, Inc. (TNTY) Seeks to Acquire Two ‘Compound’ Pharmaceutical Groups
10-3-17 True Nature Appoints Thomas Burnell President and CEO, Brings Deep Experience in Healthcare and Animal Sciences
8-2-17 True Nature Updates on Retail Strategy, Compounding and Staffing


Event Calendar Updates

The Dawson-James event was very well attended and I think companies were very pleased with the results.

About Dawson James
Dawson James Securities set out to create the highest-quality, full service investment firm specializing in the complex and fast-moving healthcare, biotechnology, technology and clean-tech sectors. Whether you’re an institutional investor seeking expert guidance, a corporation requiring timely financial transactions or an individual investor needing superior service, Dawson James Securities, Inc. aims to deliver. From investment banking and institutional research to private client services and wealth management, our reputation for quality and integrity is earned one client at a time.

With this goal in mind, we’ve assembled an experienced team of investment professionals whose expertise in these areas is well respected in the industry.

Our professionals have many years’ investment and industry experience combined with an unending passion for excellence and service

Our reputation for integrity and quality is earned one client at a time”

Presenting companies listed below:

Opgen, Inc. Nasdaq: OPGN

Pareteum Corporation NYSE American: TEUM

Soligenix, Inc. Nasdaq: SNGX

Biocept, Inc. Nasdaq: BIOC

PAVmed, Inc. Nasdaq: PAVM

Onconova Therapeutics, Inc. Nasdaq: ONTX

Ohr Pharmaceutical, Inc. Nasdaq: OHRP

Catalyst Biosciences, Inc. Nasdaq: CBIO

WestWater Resources Inc. Nasdaq: WWR

Finjan Holdings, Inc. Nasdaq: FNJN

Meridian Waste Solutions, Inc. Nasdaq: MRDN

AmpliPhi Biosciences Corp. NYSE MTK: APHB

ENDRA Life Sciences Inc. Nasdaq: NDRA

Milestone Scientific Inc. NYSE: MLSS

NanoVibronix Inc. OTCBB: NAOV

Skyline Medical Inc. Nasdaq: SKLN

 

 

Some Upcoming Events

2017 MARCUM ALTERNATIVE INVESTMENT MANAGER FORUM
Wednesday Nov 1-2017Click Here for Details

NIBA New York Conference
November 13-14, 2017Click Here for Details

Island Stock Transfer and Stock Market Manager are sponsors of NIBA and will be in attendance. Please come by our table and say Hi.

We’ll be doing a drawing for a free Black Swan Research subscription.

We’ll be posting presenting companies soon as well…

Last NIBA in NY was very well attended and I think companies were very pleased with eth results. If you’d like more information or have any questions, please feel free to call or send me an email

727-823-3987
cdilley@smm.global

Recent Events

Island Stock Transfer and Stock Market Manager sponsored the Inaugural Rocky Mountain Microcap Conference Hosted byGVC CapitalandTrickle Researchin Denver September, 25that Coors Field.

I would say it was a great success- about 70 people in attendance and a lot of very good companies and opportunities presented.

Hats off to the folks at GVC Capital and Trickle Research

List of presenting companies:

Commnad Center, Inc.

CCNI

Social Reality

SRAX

Petroshare Corp.

PRHR

GrowGeneration

GRWG

Endurance Exploration Group

EXPL

UR Energy

URG

VolitionRX

VNRX

Assure Holdings, Corp.

ARHH

Lifevantage Corp

LFVN

Blackridge Technology

BRTI

Trace Analytics

NSLM

Sundance Energy

SNDE

Zynex, Inc.

ZYXI

 

I also attended the Robbins-Catalyst Research conference on the following two days in Portland, Oregon. Again very well done. Nice attendance and many good presentations.

ROBBINS THIRD EQUITY RESEARCH ROUNDUP, 2017
Tuesday September 26-27, 2017 Portland, Oregon

This conference is to learn about new, “Up-and-Coming” public and private companies to consider as investments and portfolio holdings as well as possibly finding the next “10-bagger” stock. It will include a number of CEOs whose companies have been written about in Marc Robins’ monthly Business Journal column and will also highlight stories that a mixed group of individual investors and professional money managers would benefit from hearing.

Marc Robbins is a long standing and well respected analyst focusing on the micro-cap space and will be adding to his coverage on SMM and in the new Black Swan Research subscription service as well

Endurance Exploration Group

EXPL

Aethlon Medical, Inc. AEMD

Air Industries Group AIRI

Ammo, Inc. POWW

Entia Biosciences, Inc. ERGO

Eurocontrol Technics Group, Inc. EUCTF

Foothills Exploration, Inc. FTXP

Monaker Group, Inc. MKGI

Mynd Analytics, Inc. MYND

OKLets Play, Inc. (private company)

ParkerVision, Inc. PRKR

Safeguard Scientifics, Inc. SFE

Verdegen, LLC(private company)

Winning Fotos, Inc.(private company)

Go to ValuEngine.com

 

October 12, 2017

For today's bulletin, we take a look at our latest STRONG BUY and BUY upgrades and focus on one of our top upgrades for the day, Hibbett Sports $HIBB. We also provide a link to download a FREE STOCK REPORT on the company

VALUATION WATCH: Overvalued stocks now make up 61.64% of our stocks assigned a valuation and 26.97% of those equities are calculated to be overvalued by 20% or more. Fourteen sectors are calculated to be overvalued.Because overvaluation is now calculated to be above 60%, we have re-instituted our valuation watch.

If you cannot display this bulletin properly,GO HRE

To subscribe to our bulletins and receive content whenever it is published, subscribe at our blogHERE

Upgrades

ValuEngine Upgrades Hibbett Sports To BUY

For today's edition of our upgrade list, we used ourwebsite's advanced screening functionsto search for UPGRADES to BUY or STRONG BUY with complete forecast and valuation data. They are presented by one-month forecast return. All of the companies on our upgrade list today are ranked BUY.

Ticker

Company Name

Market Price

Valuation

Last 12-M Return

1-M Forecast Return

1-Yr Forecast Return

P/E Ratio

Sector Name

HIBB

HIBBET SPORTS

13.7

-18.67%

-67.09%

0.49%

5.94%

7.97

Retail-Wholesale

CVRR

CVR REFINING LP

11.4

11.70%

27.09%

0.49%

5.87%

17.27

Oils-Energy

DISCA

DISCOVERY COM-A

20.53

-53.19%

-24.08%

0.49%

5.84%

9.33

Consumer Discretionary

JLL

JONES LANG LASL

130.86

7.55%

25.14%

0.48%

5.70%

16.84

Finance

JCOM

J2 GLOBAL INC

76.71

-8.94%

16.94%

0.47%

5.63%

14.83

Computer and Technology

 

For today's bulletin, we take a look at Hibbett Sports (HIBB). Hibbett Sporting Goods, Inc. is a rapidly-growing operator of full-line sporting goods stores in small to mid-sized markets predominantly in the southeastern United States. Hibbett's stores offer a broad assortment of quality athletic equipment, footwear and apparel at competitive prices with superior customer service.

Hibbett, like so many of the retailers we cover, has suffered in a market where the Amazons of the world are crushing brick and mortar retailers. However, the company is making strides in the e-commerce arena and early results from their online program are encouraging.

When they posted their last quarterly results in mid-August, Jeff Rosenthal, President and Chief Executive Officer, stated that the company

experienced a very difficult retail environment in the quarter, with a significant decline in transactions and resulting pressure on gross margin. Expenses were well controlled, while maintaining proper staffing and customer service levels in our stores. Looking forward, we expect the external environment to remain challenging, although we are encouraged with the progress we are making on our internal initiatives, most notably our new e-commerce website. Our early e-commerce sales have exceeded expectations and user feedback has been very positive. We will continue our efforts to grow our online business aggressively in the future, while continuing to improve our stores to provide a great overall customer experience.

Moving forward, the company expects the rest of fiscal 2018 to pose continuing challenges. They updated guidance during their last conference call to reflect the following:

  • Earnings per diluted share in the range of $1.25 to $1.35, which compares with previous guidance of $2.35 to $2.55.
  • Comparable store sales in the negative mid to high single-digit range, which compares with previous guidance in the range of negative 1.0% to positive 1.0%.
  • A reduction in gross margin rate of 250 to 285 basis points, which compares with previous guidance of a reduction in gross margin rate of 55 to 75 basis points compared with Fiscal 2017.

Below is our latest data for Hibbett Sports (HIBB):

ValuEngine updated its recommendation from HOLD to BUY for HIBBET SPORTS on 2017-10-11. Based on the information we have gathered and our resulting research, we feel that HIBBET SPORTS has the probability to OUTPERFORM average market performance for the next year. The company exhibits ATTRACTIVE P/E Ratio and Price Sales Ratio.

You can download a free copy of detailed report on Hibbett Sports (HIBB) from the link below.

ValuEngine Forecast

 

Target
Price*

Expected
Return

1-Month

13.57

0.50%

3-Month

13.53

0.25%

6-Month

13.05

-3.31%

1-Year

14.32

6.05%

2-Year

13.73

1.70%

3-Year

15.89

17.73%

 

 

Valuation & Rankings

Valuation

19.86% undervalued

Valuation Rank(?)

83

1-M Forecast Return

0.50%

1-M Forecast Return Rank

84

12-M Return

-67.16%

Momentum Rank(?)

4

Sharpe Ratio

-1.01

Sharpe Ratio Rank(?)

5

5-Y Avg Annual Return

-28.57%

5-Y Avg Annual Rtn Rank

18

Volatility

28.15%

Volatility Rank(?)

55

Expected EPS Growth

-37.60%

EPS Growth Rank(?)

5

Market Cap (billions)

0.34

Size Rank

47

Trailing P/E Ratio

7.85

Trailing P/E Rank(?)

97

Forward P/E Ratio

12.58

Forward P/E Ratio Rank

73

PEG Ratio

n/a

PEG Ratio Rank

n/a

Price/Sales

0.36

Price/Sales Rank(?)

89

Market/Book

1.04

Market/Book Rank(?)

79

Beta

0.81

Beta Rank

50

Alpha

n/a

Alpha Rank

n/a

 

 

 

 

ValuEngine.com is an Independent Research Provider (IRP), producing buy/hold/sell recommendations, target price, and valuations on over 5,000 US and Canadian equities every trading day.
Contact ValuEngine at (800) 381-5576 orsupport@valuengine.com
Visit www.ValuEngine.com for more information

ValuEngine Capital Management LLC is a Registered Investment Advisory (RIA) firm that trades client accounts using ValuEngine's award-winning stock research.
Contact ValuEngine Capital atinfo@valuenginecapital.com
Visit www.ValuEngineCapital.com for more information

 
 
 
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